188 Day Earthquake Cycle?
I’m actually on vacation (my last for perhaps a very long time…), so I’ve not been able to fully investigate this, but here goes:
Chile — February 27, 2010 — 8.8-magnitude
New Zealand — September 4, 2010 — 7.1-magnitude
Japan — March 11, 2011 — 9.1-magnitude
Fiji — September 15, 2011 — 7.2-magnitude
The dates fall between 186 and 190 days apart. Partially due to time zones – the NZ quake was September 3 USA time, and partially due to the organic nature of the processes involved – just like rainy seasons don’t begin on the same day each year, but roughly the same time.
The next date in the cycle is/was March 21-23, 2012 and so it happens there’s a big 7.4 quake in Mexico City that fits the pattern. And there’s still time for another somewhere.
Such large quakes occur on average every 25 days, so a four day window means each time the sequence extends, the odds of it coming true are 1 in 6. To be extended 4 times means the odds of it happening are 6x6x6x6 or 1 in 1296!
Skeptic site Common Sense Conspiracy suggests that these types of patterns are easily found, but to me it seems uncanny, so what could be the cause?
Well, they all occur on either a full moon or new moon. I’ve previously shown that (statistically) eclipses increase the likelihood of major quakes, so it makes sense that times when we almost have eclipses (full and new moon) are also a factor.
Comet Elenin has been cited as the influence. Elenin-Sun-Earth alignments accounted for the first two quakes listed, but none of the others. This makes sense, because cometary alignments won’t fit nicely into a 188-day pattern within one return. However, the Electric Universe crowd have suggested that plasma interactions between the Sun, Comet and Planets could cause earthquakes!
Supposedly William Gaspar has a theory involving Cygnus placed near the Galactic Centre that is double the 188 day cycle with 377 days…
My best guess:
- Sun/Moon/Earth alignments have a causative effect on terrestrial earthquakes
- They are strongest with the finest alignments – eclipses
- For some reason, the effect goes through phases
- We are entering a new phase of great effect
- Such a pattern could have been noted by a long-lasting ancient civilization in an earthquake-prone region (or if they had a global monitoring system)
Next up, Sept 25, 2012.