Articles in Comets
For a long time now, I have figured that the major possibilities for a scientific prediction from the ancient Maya (or their predecessors) was either a massive solar storm (via noticing patterns in low-latitude auroras) or the return of a long-period comet.
Following a 2012-recap interview over the weekend, I found myself double-checking comet discoveries of recent times, looking for a match I may have missed. I think I have found a possibility. There’s no way of proving that this is what the Long Count calendar was all about, but it is perhaps the best scientific educated guess.
The Kreutz Sungrazers Listeni/ˈkrɔɪts/ are a family of sungrazing comets, characterized by orbits taking them extremely close to the Sun at perihelion. They are believed to be fragments of one large comet that broke up several centuries ago…
The three most impressive have been the Great Comet of 1843, the Great Comet of …
Astronomer David Asher (from Armagh University) has agreed with Bill Napier and Janaki Wickramasinghe (Cardiff University) that “dark comets” are real and dangerous.
The following quotes are from a paper by Napier and Asher published in Astronomy & Geophysics.
We know that about one bright comet (of absolute magnitude as bright as 7, comparable to Halley’s Comet) arrives in the visibility zone (perihelion q<5AU, say) each year from the Oort cloud. It seems to be securely established that ~1–2% of these are captured into Halleytype (HT) orbits. The dynamical lifetime of a body in such an orbit can be estimated, from which the expected number of HT comets is perhaps ~3000. The actual number of active HT comets is ~25. This discrepancy of at least two powers of 10 in the expected impact rate from comets as deduced from this theoretical argument on the one hand, and observations on the other, is …
I’m generally not a fan of theories disguised as fiction, and not a fan of prophecy either (too much to wade through to find anything real, and too hard to determine you have found it).
That’s two reasons why Cosmic Locusts by J.J. Keene is one of the many 2012-related books I failed to read prior to last month. But when I read it last night, I was riveted. Aside from the Biblical aspects, I feel he and I are on the same wavelength. Several things stood out:
He describes a suburban meteor storm – a recurring dream I had as a child, and the only “prophecy” I have ever had
He describes “dark comets”. His book was written in 2002, before the idea made the media.
The story revolves around a sun-grazing comet discovered in 2008, that would have an Earth encounter on Oct 3, 2012. C/2012 S1 (ISON) is a sun-grazing comet …
Up until today, as far as I am aware, I have been the only person to suggest a dark comet as the 2012 culprit. So to my surprise and delight I read this at the Daily Mail today:
Astrophysicist Professor Jocelyn Bell Burnell, who discovered pulsars, believes the most likely disaster that could pencil Doomsday into Friday’s diary is a black comet.
Such an end would match that of the dinosaurs who after walking the planet for about 165 million years – homo sapiens has been around for a mere 200,000 years – were killed off by a 10km asteroid or comet that slammed into the planet.
Professor Bell Burnell believes if the world as we know it is to end on December 21 it would have to be a dark comet that strikes.
Dark comets have little of the ice and snow that most comets have, and a lot more dust which makes …
The experts say they need to study newly discovered comet C/2012 S1 (ISON) more, so it might be a while before I found out… but this could be the return of Comet Caesar (astronomers – feel free to tell me if it couldn’t possibly be). If so, I cannot imagine a more beautiful and safe resolution to the question of ancient Mayan prophecy.
The return of a comet is something that an ancient culture was capable of at least attempting to predict. Along with a massive solar storm, it is the only other scientific prediction that could have been made for 2012 by ancient folk. I feel qualified to say this because nobody else has offered any possibilities. And I named the most likely comet – Comet Caesar. It could have a period of approximately 1000 years, which would tie in with the Long Count calendar start date (3114 BC), and the …
One of the best alternative science books of recent years is The Cycles of Cosmic Catastrophes by Firestone, West and Warwick-Smith. Published in 2006 it presented powerful evidence for a comet causing a global catastrophe 13,000 years ago. In March I reported that the ancient Toltec/Aztec tale about a rain of meteorites they described has been validated by melted rock formations at Central Mexico’s Lake Cuitzeo.
This week further evidence has been accepted by orthodox academics:
What if the end date of the ancient Mayan Long Count calendar was not meant to be taken literally?
The first question you need to ask is this: Dec 21 is also the Winter Solstice (in the northern hemisphere) – the darkest day of the year, so it is a coincidence or deliberate?
The second question is, if the date is deliberate, then why?
If there is a scientific basis to the Long Count calendar, if it is ultimately reflecting a scientific prediction, then there are still more questions:
Is there anything about a Winter Solstice than can cause a catastrophe?
Could an ancient culture predict a catastrophe, thousands of years away, accurate to a single day?
Or is Dec 21, 2012 a symbolic date for a scientific prediction for approximately Dec 2012?
What we do know:
The ancient Germanic people celebrated the solstice with Yule logs
The very ancient Newgrange tomb in Ireland is aligned to the winter …
I’m actually on vacation (my last for perhaps a very long time…), so I’ve not been able to fully investigate this, but here goes:
Chile — February 27, 2010 — 8.8-magnitude
New Zealand — September 4, 2010 — 7.1-magnitude
Japan — March 11, 2011 — 9.1-magnitude
Fiji — September 15, 2011 — 7.2-magnitude
The dates fall between 186 and 190 days apart. Partially due to time zones – the NZ quake was September 3 USA time, and partially due to the organic nature of the processes involved – just like rainy seasons don’t begin on the same day each year, but roughly the same time.
The next date in the cycle is/was March 21-23, 2012 and so it happens there’s a big 7.4 quake in Mexico City that fits the pattern. And there’s still time for another somewhere.
Such large quakes occur on average every 25 days, so a four day window means each time the …
Lake Cuitzeo is the second largest freshwater lake in Mexico. Located in Michoacán State, it is just north of Morelia city.
The idea that a comet caused a global catastrophe 13,000 years ago was popularized by the 2006 book The Cycles of Cosmic Catastrophes by Firestone, West and Warwick-Smith. The few mistakes that could be found in their evidence-filled book were seized upon by academics. Their evidence included spherules and nanodiamonds. On pages 223/224 they tell of a 3,400 pound meteorite that was discovered wrapped in a ceremonial burial cloth. And they share an ancient Toltec/Aztec tale about a rain of meteorites that caused 25 years of darkness. It is suggested that they are referring to this very same event.
The scientists first reported their suspicions about the event in 2007. Now, they say, a new site in Central Mexico’s Lake Cuitzeo displays telltale signs of an impact, including melted rock formations called spherules …
OK, the close call was back in 1883, but that just means it could have killed your forefathers and not yourself. The size of the comet and how close it came to Earth have been assigned ranges, but the worst possibility is that it was only 335 miles away, and was as big as the comet that took out the dinosaurs!
Mexican astronomer José Banilla took the image, which appears to show something passing in front of the sun, on August 12 1883.
When it was released publicly in 1886 in the magazine L’Astronomie it was dubbed the first photo of a UFO – a series of 447 objects that looked ‘misty’ and ‘left behind a similar misty trace.’
…A new study by the Univeridad Nacional Autónoma de México now suggests that it was a comet in the process of breaking up.
‘According to our calculations, the distance at which the objects passed …
This isn’t just a 2012 problem – in newspapers and tabloid television, “experts” can find it easy to dismiss a topic by misrepresenting it and then debunking it. This is unfortunate because most of the public learns about conspiracy-type topics from these experts. Let’s take a little look at how 2012 is misrepresented in popular media:
In interviews I almost always get introduced in the same manner – Robert Bast, who believes the world will end in 2012. And every time I correct their sensationalism – I think the end of the world, as we know it (TEOTWAWKI) could occur in 2012.
It really is a double-edged sword. Most 2012ers are preparing to survive or become light-beings or ascend. None of these are the end of the world (EOTW), in which everything ends. Yet the media uses EOTW. And the experts drolly state “the Maya only believe in cycles, not an end“. …
In the South Island of New Zealand, near the small town of Tapanui, you can find the above crater. Well, some scientists believe it to be a small landslide… According to the great array of evidence provided by Dr Jan Pajak, Tapanui was the location of a Tunguska-type event. Well, he says seven UFOs exploded, but if you ignore that there’s great evidence for a cometary impact.
Dr Pajak dates the explosion to 1178AD, based on carbon-dating of the trees which were blown down. The event could also explain the demise of the giant Moa bird. The most common reason put forward is that the Maori hunted them to extinction soon after arriving in New Zealand. However the Maori claim the Moa all died in a widespread fire…
Over at Harvard is a copy of a paper by Duncan Steel & Peter Snow, The Tapanui region of New Zealand: Site of a Tunguska around …
Confirmed today by Sky and Telescope, Comet Elenin has either broken in half or disintegrated completely. Astronomers have seen its brightness halving in the last week, and the bright core has become “elongated and diffuse”. The writer closes with:
I guess all those pseudoscientific bloggers who predicted planet-altering encounters with a cosmic visitor bright enough to be seen in broad daylight will just have to find something else to worry about.
Well, maybe, maybe not. Leonid Elenin has this to say:
Now it is absolutely clear that the comet’s drop in brightness, first noted by Michael Mattiazzo on Aug. 20th, was not coincidental – the decay process had already begun, and over the course of the next several days the comet changed greatly. Its pseudo-nucleus became diffuse and extended, and later vanished completely. On images from Sept. 1st in the comet’s coma there was no condensation …
One of my best sources of information is Google Alerts – it lets me know all the new websites and web pages that show up for a particular key phrase. Alerts for keywords like 2012 cult or survival bunker provide so many new results each day Google only shows me the best. My alert for dark comet is particularly disappointing. Aside from results to do with what I suspect is a hacking tool with the same name, I cannot recall when I last saw information on the topic.
Two years ago there was a flurry of info, all resulting from the one scientific paper back in 2005:
Swathes of dark comets may be prowling the solar system, posing a deadly threat to Earth [New Scientist]
Comets could be the most significant impact hazard to Earth, with sky surveys underestimating the number that are potentially devastating by a factor of between 10 and 100 …
Many independent researchers believe that something must of occurred in 3114BC to trigger the start of the Mayan Long Count calendar – and therefore any information about events from 5,000 years ago catch my eye – like this one:
A 5,000-year old rock carving in north China’s Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region depicts a falling meteor, said archaeologists on Saturday.
A rock on the side of Dahei Mountain in the city of Chifeng has images of people, domed houses and a fire ball with a long tail falling from the sky engraved on it, said Wu Jiacai, head of the Inner Mongolia rock paintings protection association.
It’s a shame that news reports from China don’t usually come with images… I guess that the meteor could just as easily be a comet?