The 2012 Newsletter - Get It Here
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Cosmic Rays / Sting / Asteroid in 2182

July 31st, 2010 by Robert Bast | 1 Comment | Filed in Asteroids, Cosmic Rays, In Brief
  • A neutrino observatory consisting of strings of detectors buried deep in Antarctic ice has confirmed that more cosmic rays arrive from some parts of the sky than others, something already observed in the northern hemisphere
  • BBC movie show Talking Movies has an interview with Sting about the new 2012 doco called 2012: Time For Change
  • Spanish asteroid trackers estimate that asteroid 1999 RQ36 has a chance in 1,000 of crashing into our planet in the year 2182. NASA says 1 in 3,570. At over 500 metres in width, the impact would be catastrophic. Still, you’d expect we’d be able to shift the path of an asteroid by then…

Tags: sting

Protecting Earth: Governments Finally Getting Serious

July 26th, 2010 by Robert Bast | 1 Comment | Filed in Asteroids, solar storm

The timing could be better, because Dec 2012 is only 2.5 years away, but better late than never!

Last month, Representative Dana Rohrabacher (R – CA) introduced the new bill before Congress, H.R. 5587, titled: “To establish a United States Commission on Planetary Defense and for other purposes.”

The commission will investigate the role of the United States in identifying NEOs (Near-Earth Objects), and their capabilities for neutralising any potential impacts. The budget is a pitiful $2 million, and has me wondering why Congress is even needed to debate the worthiness of it. Most scientists working in this field would tell you that there is no doubt about what is required – a huge amount of money to be spent ASAP. We have the capability to protect our planet, and so far we are sitting on our hands…

Meanwhile over at Space Daily is a report on a meeting in Germany attended by experts from 25 countries, discussing the risks we face from our Sun:

“Imagine trying to monitor Earth’s oceans with a small number of buoys. You’d miss a lot. That’s the situation we’re in now with the ‘ocean of space,’” says Guhathakurta.

China is about to contribute a space-buoy known as “KuaFu,” named after a giant in Chinese mythology who wished to capture the sun. Kuafu will be located at the L1 Lagrange point where it will sample the solar wind upstream from Earth.

“We’re putting KuaFu at a strategic point in space,” says Wu. “The solar wind at L1 is an important input to many science models of the sun-Earth interaction.”

When KuaFu launches it will join a growing international fleet of spacecraft dedicated to heliophysics. NASA, the European Space Agency, the Russian Federal Space Agency, the Canadian Space Agency, JAXA and China are all making significant contributions.

And just in time…

If forecasters are correct, the solar cycle will peak during the years around 2013. And while it probably won’t be the biggest peak on record, human society has never been more vulnerable.

The basics of daily life-from communications to weather forecasting to financial services-depend on satellites and high-tech electronics. A 2008 report by the National Academy of Sciences warned that a century-class solar storm could cause billions in economic damage.

Preparing for a “solar Katrina,” launching a new science, harnessing the talents of scientists around the globe: “These are just a few of our goals for this week’s meeting,” says Guhathakurta.

As outlined in the bill, the purposes of the commission would be to:

  • Determine capabilities of United States Government entities, nongovernment organizations, foreign governments and entities, and international bodies to detect, characterize, and neutralize potentially dangerous Near Earth Objects;
  • Identify and evaluate roles and responsibilities of United States Government entities to detect, characterize, and neutralize potentially dangerous NEOs;
  • Determine United States effectiveness in leading international efforts to detect, characterize, and neutralize potentially dangerous NEOs;
  • Build upon United States Government and foreign analyses, studies, and assessments, without duplicating efforts, to determine current and required NEO characterization and mitigation capabilities;
  • Identify and report on technology development required to provide effective planetary defense from dangerous NEOs; and
  • Investigate and report to the President and Congress on its findings, conclusions, and recommendations for corrective measures that can be taken to provide planetary defense.

Meanwhile at New Scientist (June 23, 2010), Russian scientists figure that solar storms could affect some previously un-thought-of human activities. Even a minor storm could cause railway signals to go haywire, and oil pipelines to rust so much that they may leak – especially when you get closer to the poles, regions which have less protection from the Sun.

Relatively minor space storms now appear to be behind a range of mysterious mishaps – railway signals malfunctioning in Archangel province in north-western Russia, for example, between 2000 and 2005. A study led by Eugenia Eroshenko of the Pushkov Institute of Terrestrial Magnetism, Ionosphere and Radio Wave Propagation in Troitsk, Russia, examined episodes when signals turned red for minutes or even hours though the track ahead was clear, then spontaneously reverted to green.

Eroshenko’s team found that 16 malfunctions of this sort observed between 2000 and 2005 coincided with space storms (Advances in Space Research, DOI: 10.1016/j.asr.2010.05.017). “We were surprised by such a clear correlation,” Eroshenko says

Solar Storm Havoc

NASA Discovers 25,000 New Asteroids

July 20th, 2010 by Robert Bast | 5 Comments | Filed in Asteroids

And as an example of how infrequent it is for an asteroid to crash into our planet, not one of the 25,000 is aimed for Earth.

It’s a pretty impressive haul for WISE (Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer), finding that number since last December, and also discovering 15 new comets. The telescope is up in space, just like the famous Hubble. Being infrared, it can “see through impenetrable veils of dust, picking up the heat glow of objects that are invisible to regular telescopes.”

While I wouldn’t pretend to know if the $320 million cost is a good investment for science, as an early warning system it is extremely cheap if we can somehow avert a disaster in 2012 or any other year.

Tags: Wide-field Infrared Survey Explorer

Major Asteroid Impact circa 3114BC

July 8th, 2010 by Robert Bast | 1 Comment | Filed in Asteroids, comets

While a lot of energy is being spent on the Mayan Long Count end date of 2012AD, very few investigators (if any) are looking into the start date of 3114BC and possible reasons for that date. My long held belief is that the only feasible event an ancient culture could have predicted for 2012 is the approach of a comet or asteroid. My article on Comet Caesar explains the potential for a comet that visits us every 1000 years or so to be the reason for the existence of the Long Count calendar. The theoretical last approach (approx 987AD) would not have been recorded because in the Dark Ages we don’t even have a record of Halley’s Comet. 3000+ years ago there aren’t any useful records of comets. And 2000 years ago Comet Caesar was big news.

Well, here’s a candidate for circa 3114BC:

A clay tablet that has baffled scientists for more than a century has been identified as a witness’s account of an asteroid that destroyed the Biblical cities of Sodom and Gomorrah 5,000 years ago. Researchers believe that the tablet’s symbols give a detailed account of how a mile-long asteroid hit the region, causing thousands of deaths and devastating more than one million sq km (386,000 sq miles).

…At its heart is a clay tablet called the Planisphere, discovered by the Victorian archaeologist Henry Layard in the remains of the library of the Royal Palace at Nineveh. Using computers to recreate the night sky thousands of years ago, they have pinpointed the sighting described on the tablet – a 700BC copy of notes of the night sky as seen by a Sumerian astrologer in one of the world’s earliest-known civilisations – to shortly before dawn on June 29 in the year 3123BC. Half the tablet records planet positions and clouds, while the other half describes the movement of an object looking like a ’stone bowl’ travelling quickly across the sky.

claytablet1APEX 468x476 Major Asteroid Impact circa 3114BC

The description matches a type of asteroid known as an Aten type, which orbits the Sun close to the Earth. Its trajectory would have put it on a collision course with the Otz Valley. It came in at a very low angle – around six degrees – and then clipped a mountain called Gaskogel around 11km from Köfels,’ said Mr Hempsell.

‘This caused it to explode – and as it travelled down the valley it became a fireball.

… The explosion would have created a mushroom cloud, while a plume of smoke would have been seen for hundreds of miles. Mr Hempsell said another part of the tablet, which is 18cm across and shaped like a bowl, describes a plume of smoke around dawn the following morning.

… Geologists have dated the landslide to around 9,000 years ago, far earlier than the Sumerian record. However, Mr Hempsell, who has published a book on the theory, believes contaminated samples from the asteroid may have confused previous dating attempts.

Academics were also quick to disagree with the findings, which were published in A Sumerian Observation of the Köfels’s Impact Event. John Taylor, a retired expert in Near Eastern archaeology at the British Museum, said there was no evidence that the ancient Sumerians were able to make such accurate astronomical records, while our knowledge of Sumerian language was incomplete.

Comets can and do break up (either partially or completely) and leave a trail of asteroids that continue along the same orbit, which is why we have meteor showers like the Leonids. It is possible that the impact described above is from an object that broke off from Comet Caesar. Alternatively, the Long Count calendar could describe a combination of an actual event in 3114BC and a prophecy that the event is cyclical.

Tags: Köfels, Nineveh, Planisphere, Sumerian

Conspiracy Update + June 23 Terrorist Attack?

June 3rd, 2010 by Robert Bast | 6 Comments | Filed in Asteroids, terrorism

There’s  a very active thread over at Above Top Secret, which starts off like this:

To those who think that Operation Blackjack, that comic series published by the London Telegraph last year, was just a sick joke; It may come as a shock to learn that an earlier warning has been discovered and decoded. There are those that believe that the Illuminati publish their plans in encrypted ways, because it is necessary by their ‘order’ to involve us in the blood sacrifice?

…The actual decoding is very complex and may be posted in its entirety in a separate post. However, the following items were decoded and found contained within the terror article: * The number “33″ Illuminati marker of authentication. * The article claims that the terrorist shot tourist on December 24, 2007. * Then the article is decoded to warn of “dangerous winds” 912 days later, which happens to be June 23, 2010. [Note: Operation Blackjack indicates June 22, 2010 but hidden in its images is a code to add a day. Also, 6/23/10= 6+2+3+10 = 21 Blackjack!] * Then even spookier is the fact that 912 days after 6/23/10 is 12/21/12 = Doomsday! *

Operation Blackjack is a fictional slideshow story published in the Telegraph website last year, concerning a terrorist attack in the UK on June 23. The poster of the information above believes that the purpose of Operation Blackjack was to give us the date of June 22 or 23 2010, and that the Illuminati love to telegraph their plans (in code of course).

On its own, sounds daft. However there were numerous references in popular culture pointing to 9/11 before it happened:

  • The day Neo’s passport expires in The Matrix
  • The first episode of The Lone Gunmen (March 2001) involves a plane crashing into the WTC
  • 9/11 events predicted in a 1995 card game about the Illuminati

That’s old news. New news is the Nicholas Cage movie Knowing predicting the oil rig explosion in the Gulf of Mexico:

Could this mean that the other events in this movie will also come true? The final three were a plane crash, a subway accident and solar flares. Could this be a warning for 2012?

Of course The Lone Gunmen was a spin-off from The X-Files, which featured 2012 prominently, long before the topic was popular. And Nic Cage has played someone who could peer into the future twice – the other film was Next and it involved a terrorist attack… and he was in a movie called World Trade Center. And he was in Con Air alongside the star of 2012 John Cusack.

And while we are taking about predictions via popular culture, don’t forget the View Master slides from the 50s that told of the Hall of Records on an asteroid. NASA photographed this building on the asteroid Eros in 2000, and landed the NEAR Shoemaker on the asteroid in 2001. Other pieces of fiction from the 50s and 60s have Eros as a disguised spacecraft… And Eros returns in 2012!

Asteroids: We Aren’t Prepared

March 5th, 2010 by Rob | 4 Comments | Filed in Asteroids, comets

NASA is looking, and does find asteroids. Unfortunately their efforts are far from comprehensive, and our planet is woefully under-prepared relative to our technical capabilities. A few months back New Scientist published what will hopefully be a wake-up call to politicians globally:

The asteroid is on a collision course with Earth. It is the size of a skyscraper and it’s big enough to raze a city to the ground. Oh, and it will be here in three days.

Far-fetched it might seem, but this scenario is all too plausible. Certainly it is realistic enough that the US air force recently brought together scientists, military officers and emergency-response officials for the first time to assess the nation’s ability to cope, should it come to pass.

They were asked to imagine how their respective organisations would respond to a mythical asteroid called Innoculatus striking the Earth after just three days’ warning. The asteroid consisted of two parts: a pile of rubble 270 metres across which was destined to splash down in the Atlantic Ocean off the west coast of Africa, and a 50-metre-wide rock heading, in true Hollywood style, directly for Washington DC.

The exercise, which took place in December 2008, exposed the chilling dangers asteroids pose. Not only is there no plan for what to do when an asteroid hits, but our early-warning systems – which could make the difference between life and death – are woefully inadequate.

This graphic shows the areas in space that NASA checks for incoming asteroids. To be fair, these zones are where most would be likely to arrive from, but it is well short of the desired coverage:

27271301 Asteroids: We Arent Prepared

Our chance of having any prior warning at all for an approaching 30-metre asteroid is no better than 25 to 35 per cent with existing sky surveillance, calculates astronomer Alan Harris of the Space Science Institute in Boulder, Colorado (see graphic). The sun washes out half of the sky with daylight, blinding us to 50 per cent of threatening objects. Even glare from the moon can hide unwelcome incoming guests.

What’s more, two of the world’s three leading asteroid surveys are based in Arizona, including the Catalina Sky Survey, which discovered 2008 TC3. The region tends to cloud over between July and September…

Read more about asteroids and comets in 2012

Asteroid Tsunamis Not So Bad After All?

April 28th, 2009 by Rob | No Comments | Filed in Asteroids, tsunami

A new computer simulation has determined that if a 200 metre wide asteroid lands in the ocean, where the water depth is 5 kilometres, the following will occur:

  • Initial tsunami with a height of hundreds of metres
  • The height of the waves makes them prone to collapse, and they start breaking immediately
  • After they are 30 kilometres from the impact site, they have shrunk to a height of less than 60 metres
  • Extrapolating the shrinkage suggests a height of less than 10 metres after it has travelled 1000 kilometres

Ultimately, how close to the shore the impact is would make a big difference…

Although 10 metres would ordinarily mean massive devastation, apparently the wavelength would be shorter (2 minutes), and therefore not as damaging as regular tsunamis (8 minutes). The results of another simulation “suggest much slower wave decay”, ie worse.

The article concludes with something we all, perhaps, should keep in the back of our mind:

Brian Toon of the Universityof Colorado in Boulder says we should continue surveying for asteroids. “We probably have quite a while before we’re going to get hit by a significantly sized [asteroid],” he says. “But nevertheless one of these is going to come at us.”

Heard of the Köfels’ Impact Event?

July 30th, 2008 by Rob | No Comments | Filed in Asteroids

I hadn’t before today. Apparantly the Sumerians witnessed and recorded it.

On 29th June 3,123BC (very close to the start of the ancient Mayan Long Count), an asteroid gouges a 2 kilometre cut out of the mountain overlooking Austrian Köfels, releasing 14,000 Megatons, “producing not a crater, but the demolition of the mountain into the gigantic landslide we see today.”

An event surely worthy of starting a calendar anew – even more so if there were multiple events of this type (my speculation).

The book has just been released, available at Amazon:
A Sumerian Observation of the Köfels’ Impact Event

Planet X & Asteroids – They Will Be Found!

March 4th, 2008 by Rob | No Comments | Filed in Asteroids, planet x

There has a been a lot of talk about how an uncharted asteroid, or even Planet X, could do us harm in 2012. The problem is that these predictions are hard to prove or disprove – we don’t have good enough telescopes.

This is all about to change with the Aug 2007 launch of Pan-STARRS in Hawaii. Over 4x bigger than any other telescope camera, it will photograph three-quarters of our sky by 2010.

Until now roughly 600,000 asteroids have been catalogued. By 2012 that might reach 1 million thanks to the new telescope.

It will also find any new planets that might be out there, having the ability to locate Jupiter-size planets up to 1700AU from the sun, and Pluto-sized planetoids up to 250AU away. As a comparison, Pluto is between 29-49AU from the sun. The director of the operation said “If Nemesis is out there, we will find it”.

Source: New Scientist, 15 Dec 2007