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Another Expert Agrees With Dark Comet Theory

February 21, 2013 – 11:31 am | No Comment

Astronomer David Asher (from Armagh University) has agreed with Bill Napier and Janaki Wickramasinghe (Cardiff University) that “dark comets” are real and dangerous.
The following quotes are from a paper by Napier and Asher published in Astronomy & Geophysics.

We know that about one bright comet (of absolute magnitude as bright as 7, comparable to Halley’s Comet) arrives in the visibility zone (perihelion q<5AU, say) each year from the Oort cloud. It seems to be securely established that ~1–2% of these are captured into Halleytype (HT) orbits. The dynamical lifetime of a body in such an orbit can be estimated, from which the expected number of HT comets is perhaps ~3000. The actual number of active HT comets is ~25. This discrepancy of at least two powers of 10 in the expected impact rate from comets as deduced from this theoretical argument on the one hand, and observations on the other, is …

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Home » Solar Cycle 24

Solar Cycle 24 – revised prediction says not as bad

Submitted by on February 5, 2009 – 7:37 amNo Comment

On the left is a prediction by NASA scientist Dr. David Hathaway, from 2006, of the intensity of the next solar cycle, peaking in 2012.

On the right is his revised opinion – that it will less next time round, not more. The changes are quite dramatic:

Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in March 2006: 145
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in October 2008: 137
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in January 2009: 104

…and highlight how difficult it is to predict – basically because they know very little about how it all works. Don’t be surprised if the sunspot maximum is 200 or 50, or even zero.

His official solar prediction page is at NASA. I was alerted to it by

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