Solar Cycle 24 – revised prediction says not as bad
Submitted by Robert Bast on February 5, 2009 – 7:37 amNo Comment
On the left is a prediction by NASA scientist Dr. David Hathaway, from 2006, of the intensity of the next solar cycle, peaking in 2012.
On the right is his revised opinion – that it will less next time round, not more. The changes are quite dramatic:
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in March 2006: 145
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in October 2008: 137
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in January 2009: 104
…and highlight how difficult it is to predict – basically because they know very little about how it all works. Don’t be surprised if the sunspot maximum is 200 or 50, or even zero.
His official solar prediction page is at NASA. I was alerted to it by WhatsUpWithThat.com.
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