{"id":1242,"date":"2011-06-16T10:58:41","date_gmt":"2011-06-16T00:58:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/?p=1242"},"modified":"2011-06-16T10:58:41","modified_gmt":"2011-06-16T00:58:41","slug":"solar-cycle-25","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/2011\/06\/solar-cycle-25-1242.html","title":{"rendered":"Solar Cycle 25 Will Be Quiet"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>As I have said before, once scientists have made predictions ahead of time, and then consequently got them right, for a few cycles in a row, then we might trust their forecasts. So far that hasn&#8217;t looked like happening, so take these <a href=\"http:\/\/news.sciencemag.org\/sciencenow\/2011\/06\/end-of-the-sunspot-cycle.html?etoc&amp;elq=839c9fa7d3644e36a6c80280f6a1f779\">new predictions<\/a> with a grain of salt:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Three different measurements of solar activity, reported by scientists at a press conference today, suggest that the next 11-year-long solar cycle will be far quieter than the current one. In fact, it may not happen at all: Sunspots, the enormous magnetic storms that erupt on the sun&#8217;s surface as the cycle builds, might disappear entirely for the first time in approximately 400 years.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>Although they say there will only be a <em>slight cooling effect on climate<\/em>, they have to say that, or else they would be admitting that climate change is not man-made. Yet the only recorded minimum anything like what they are predicting, the Maunder Minimum, coincided with the <a href=\"http:\/\/en.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/Little_Ice_Age\">Little Ice Age<\/a>, where the effect on humans was substantial. Just one example is that the Thames River froze over.<\/p>\n<p>Keep in mind, the current solar cycle (#24) was going to have a large number of sunspots, but as time went by scientists kept revising their numbers:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>Hathaway\u2019s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in March  2006:  145<br \/>\nHathaway\u2019s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in October 2008:  137<br \/>\nHathaway\u2019s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in January 2009:  104<br \/>\nhttp:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/2009\/02\/solar-cycle-24-revised-prediction-says-269.html<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>While the current cycle is still running late, and is still quiet, I don&#8217;t think we can ignore the threat of dangerous solar storms in 2012. They can happen in quiet cycles just as easily as in more active cycles, there&#8217;s just less likelihood.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As I have said before, once scientists have made predictions ahead of time, and then consequently got them right, for a few cycles in a row, then we might trust their forecasts. So far that hasn&#8217;t looked like happening, so take these new predictions with a grain of salt:<br \/>\nThree different measurements of solar activity, reported by scientists at a press conference today, suggest that the next 11-year-long solar cycle will be far quieter than the current one. In fact, it may not happen at all: Sunspots, the enormous magnetic storms that erupt on the sun&#8217;s surface as the cycle builds, might disappear entirely for the first time in approximately 400 years.<br \/>\nAlthough they say there will only be a slight cooling effect on climate, they have to say that, or else they would be admitting that climate change is not man-made. Yet the only recorded minimum anything like what they are &#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[26],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1242","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-solar-cycle"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1242","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1242"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1242\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1244,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1242\/revisions\/1244"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1242"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1242"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1242"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}<!-- WP Super Cache is installed but broken. 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