total and partial lunar eclipses<\/a>, and compared them to average earthquake rates, from Jan 1973 until the present:<\/p>\nM6.5+<\/strong><\/span> … normal is an average of one every 8.4 days
\nWithin four days of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 7.26 days
\nWithin one day of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 5.87 days<\/p>\nM7.5+<\/strong><\/span> … normal is an average of one every 73.8 days
\nWithin twenty days of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 51.6 days
\nWithin four days of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 41.25 days
\nWithin one day of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 33 days*<\/p>\nOf course these numbers do not mean that there will be an earthquake every time there is a lunar eclipse. But it does mean that a large earthquake is roughly 50% more likely to occur, and a M7.5+ perhaps more than twice as likely to occur within one day. Therefore the gravitational tug-of-war, with the Sun pulling us from one direction, and the moon from the diametrically opposite direction, was a factor. If the constantly moving magnetic fields were also a factor, and could be used to predict a mega-quake in 2012, then far longer time-frames would need to be looked at, which we don’t have. But an advanced ancient culture could conceivably have had such data, if they only counted the very largest quakes, but over millennia.<\/p>\n
The next lunar eclipses are:<\/p>\n
\n- June 15, 2001<\/li>\n
- December 10, 2011<\/li>\n
- June 4, 2012<\/li>\n
- November 28, 2012<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n
*With five 7.5M+ quakes occurring within a day of a lunar eclipse, we would need more data, from a longer time period, for this to be statistically significant.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
I’ve just been through the tedious task of checking every lunar and solar eclipse since 1973 ( as far back as the USGS records reliably go), against every earthquake measuring 6.5, 7.0, 7.5 and 8.0 in magnitude. For solar eclipses the odds of an earthquake were slightly higher than average, but not enough to raise alarm bells.
\nLunar eclipses do have an effect. I looked at total and partial lunar eclipses, and compared them to average earthquake rates, from Jan 1973 until the present:
\nM6.5+ … normal is an average of one every 8.4 days
\nWithin four days of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 7.26 days
\nWithin one day of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 5.87 days
\nM7.5+ … normal is an average of one every 73.8 days
\nWithin twenty days of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 51.6 days
\nWithin four days of a lunar eclipse, averages one every 41.25 days
\nWithin one day of …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[298],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1169","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-eclipses"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1169","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1169"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1169\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":1177,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1169\/revisions\/1177"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1169"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1169"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/survive2012.com\/news\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1169"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}