2012 Blog » Solar Cycle 24

Regarding Current Upheavals…

Robert Bast — Thu, 17 Mar 2011 14:31:54 +0000

The famously predicted “earth changes” could finally be in effect. As of now the various natural disasters could just be a statistical blip, but give us a few more (watch this week, and June 1 through July 1) and not only will many prophets appear spot on, but the world will start to panic – although I’m unsure of any short-term measurement for this, except for polling folk.

So if it continues, what is the cause??

a) Patrick Geryl suggests the Sun will be becoming increasingly erratic, leading to a crustal displacement in 2012.
b) The next solar maximum could be big, and increased flares and CMEs could cause all sorts of bother to our planet. Experts keep changing their minds over how big or small the next maximum will be…
c) I’ve noticed an increased in likelihood of events around full moons and especially eclipses. Gravity between the Sun, Moon and Earth cannot have changed, so the other possibility is magnetic fields. The Moon’s field is negligible, and the Earth’s is changing but perhaps not rapidly enough to be causing recent natural disasters. The magnetic fields of our Sun are not only poorly understood, and powerful, but an ancient culture could have conceivably noticed the symptoms of changes to the Sun’s magnetic field(s).
d) Comet Elenin – while it is too insignificant to bother us via classic physics, an Electric Universe could have it creating havoc…
e) Jim Berkland blames recent changes in our magnetic field. He says that the approaching seismic window is one of the largest in many years… developing between the 19th to the 26th of March 2011.
f) Rotational Bending according to James Bowles: The sun and moon are constantly tugging away, testing the attachment. Eventually something has to give. The cracks might appear first…

For the keen survivalist none of this is relevant. You should already be in your safe spot, and staying there until the symptoms dissipate. Any lesser action will compromise your potential to survive.

Regarding Current Upheavals… is a post from: 2012 Blog

Meteoroid Tracking / New 2012 Drink / Missing Sunspots

Robert Bast — Sat, 05 Mar 2011 11:41:12 +0000

NASA is installing a network of smart cameras across the USA to track fireballs and meteoroids. Soon there will be 15, and then they plan to expand nationwide. These cameras are automated and linked together so that they can triangulate paths and orbits. If NASA was expecting an influx of fireballs (and alternative media outlets are suggesting this is already happening), such data could prove to be important. But it could just be that NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office is wanting to he more helpful when they get phone calls from the public. More info at PhysOrg, and the official NASA site has live and historical images from the cameras.

—

According to the website of Australia’s antidote to “energy drinks”, esc, if you are concerned about 2012, their drink will let you Escape into a zen state of mind!

—

The latest in a long line of solar cycle theories has just been published in Nature. NASA have summarised the findings. While it seems to account for the last minimum, I figure it will take accurate predictions for the next few cycles to be proven – and they don’t seem to have even made any predictions about the next maximum.

Meteoroid Tracking / New 2012 Drink / Missing Sunspots is a post from: 2012 Blog

2012: Brightest Northern Lights

Robert Bast — Mon, 20 Dec 2010 07:52:57 +0000

According to NASA, 2012 will be the big one for observing the Northern Lights. Scientists say that they “should at least be visible as far south as Rome.”

Icelandic photographer Orvar Thorgiersso says “By the year 2012 if you catch the moment the Sun is spewing out solar storms directly at the earth you will be truly awestruck. It will be like nothing you’ve ever seen before.”

And of course phones, GPS and the power grid could be affected. Perhaps we will just look up to sky and go “ah-ha, that’s why my phone isn’t working tonight”.

2012: Brightest Northern Lights is a post from: 2012 Blog

Solar Cycle Will Be Weakest…Or Not?

Robert Bast — Tue, 12 May 2009 13:04:00 +0000

It wasn’t very long ago that we were being told to brace for, in 2012, the biggest solar maximum for some time. Now some scientists are predicting that it will be “the weakest since 1928“.

The panel now expects the sun’s activity will peak about a year late, in May 2013, when it will boast an average of 90 sunspots per day. That is below average for solar cycles, making the coming peak the weakest since 1928, when an average of 78 sunspots was seen daily.

So there’s nothing to worry about, except:

“The panel consensus is not my individual opinion,” says panel member Mausumi Dikpati of the High Altitude Observatory in Boulder, Colorado.

Dikpati and her colleagues have developed a solar model that predicts a bumper crop of sunspots and a cycle that is 30% to 50% stronger than the previous cycle, Cycle 23.

Such disparate predictions are similar to the global warming debate. Perhaps they are connected after all?

Solar Cycle Will Be Weakest…Or Not? is a post from: 2012 Blog

Solar Cycle 24 – revised prediction says not as bad

Robert Bast — Thu, 05 Feb 2009 07:37:00 +0000

On the left is a prediction by NASA scientist Dr. David Hathaway, from 2006, of the intensity of the next solar cycle, peaking in 2012.

On the right is his revised opinion – that it will less next time round, not more. The changes are quite dramatic:

Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in March 2006: 145
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in October 2008: 137
Hathaway’s predicted Cycle 24 maximum in January 2009: 104

…and highlight how difficult it is to predict – basically because they know very little about how it all works. Don’t be surprised if the sunspot maximum is 200 or 50, or even zero.

His official solar prediction page is at NASA. I was alerted to it by WhatsUpWithThat.com.

Solar Cycle 24 – revised prediction says not as bad is a post from: 2012 Blog