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Another Expert Agrees With Dark Comet Theory

February 21, 2013 – 11:31 am | No Comment

Astronomer David Asher (from Armagh University) has agreed with Bill Napier and Janaki Wickramasinghe (Cardiff University) that “dark comets” are real and dangerous.
The following quotes are from a paper by Napier and Asher published in Astronomy & Geophysics.
http://star.arm.ac.uk/preprints/2009/539.pdf

We know that about one bright comet (of absolute magnitude as bright as 7, comparable to Halley’s Comet) arrives in the visibility zone (perihelion q<5AU, say) each year from the Oort cloud. It seems to be securely established that ~1–2% of these are captured into Halleytype (HT) orbits. The dynamical lifetime of a body in such an orbit can be estimated, from which the expected number of HT comets is perhaps ~3000. The actual number of active HT comets is ~25. This discrepancy of at least two powers of 10 in the expected impact rate from comets as deduced from this theoretical argument on the one hand, and observations on the other, is …

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Home » Survivalism

Sensible Survivalism

Submitted by on August 13, 2009 – 11:34 am2 Comments

While I read many blogs & sites devoted to survivalism, it’s not too often I feel compelled to share what I find. Today is one of those rarities, a short, readable, intelligent look into the underlying skills a modern-day survivalist requires -written by a blogger with a blog called Hegemonicon. It doesn’t focus on things like hunting skills…

He starts off by mentioning what I have been preaching for almost a decade: 2012 doesn’t need to be a dead cert, it’s OK to prepare for the worst, just in case. You don’t expect your house to ever burn down, but most sensible people have their home insured against fire:

But the idea of preparing for a low-probability, high-cost event isn’t so strange – we pay for fire insurance, after all. Survivalism is just insurance of a different sort.

Here are his 6 principles, and my comments regarding how they might relate to 2012 preparations:

Prepare for Disasters in Proportion to Their Likelihood.
You are far more likely to die of a heart attack or car crash… Agreed. Wear a seat belt, don’t drink and drive, watch your diet, exercise. These are survivalist tactics. Don’t marry an axe wielding maniac. Don’t sleep in gutters. Don’t fly in a small plane during bad weather.

Think Like an Economist
“And having one or two guns is probably a good investment. But each additional gun is less useful than that first one, because the number of situations where you’ll need that many guns at once gets lower and lower…. Remember, you have limited resources – spend them where they’ll have the most impact.” Approaching 2012, you also have limited time. If you devote 3 years of your life to surviving 2012, and it fails to eventuate, would that then be a waste of 3-5% of your life? The trick is to find a way of having your survivalist tendencies and eat your cake too. Choose a bunker/basement that suits your normal lifestyle. Like wine? Get a house with a wine cellar, and in 2013, convert it back to a wine cellar. Like being self-sufficient? Use 2012 as an excuse to move to the country and grow your own food.

Train Your Brain
“The ability to think rationally, creatively, and strategically – to analyze a situation and come up with the best possible solution, is a useful skill in every possible situation you will face.” Play violent video games. Hunt at your supermarket. Test your peripheral vision when in crowded environments. Crosswords/Sudoku. Pretend you are 90-years-old and you want to stay mentally active. Attend a Murder Mystery Weekend. Play paintball.

Favor Skills Over Objects
I’ll just quote this one in full, it is so good:

The future is uncertain – that’s the entire point of survivalism. Your preparations should take this uncertainty into account. You don’t know if you’re going to be able to get to your stockpile, or have enough gas to drive to your hideout, or trade your gold bars to anyone. Any item used for survival is also a liability, by virtue of the fact that you’re depending on it. Objects can be taken away from you, and if society really does break down, they probably will be. Skills on the other hand, are inside your head – you can’t lose them unless you forget them. So it’s more useful to learn to farm, or hunt, or fish, or gather, than to stockpile. It’s better to learn how to build a shelter than to have a bunker. It’s better to know how to fix a car than to spend thousands turning one into your survival-mobile. The more skills you have, the more you’ll be able to turn any situation to your advantage.

You are Not Legend
“Society may collapse, but people will still be around. You should plan to deal with them.” Get out more. Be at a bar at 3am and have arguments. Join the parent’s committee of your kids school. Get a job where you deal with the public. Join a political organisation. Get used to dealing with people.

You are Going to Die.
It is a fact. It is why few elderly folk can be found who care about 2012. Why put effort into surviving 2012 if you are close to meeting your maker anyway? By questioning your real motivation for surviving 2012, you might just learn something about yourself… Is it really for your kids, or fellow humans? Then maybe you can help out in other ways, here and now….

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