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Wednesday, 7 January 2009

Solar Storm Could Cause $2 Trillion in Damage!

Just in from SpaceWeather.com, news of a study that quantifies the potential damage of the worst solar storms:
The 132-page document examines what might happen to our high-tech modern society in the event of a super solar flare followed by an extreme geomagnetic storm. Such a storm did occur in the year 1859. It electrified telegraph lines, shocking technicians and setting telegraph papers on fire; Northern Lights as far south as Cuba were so bright, you could read a newspaper by their eerie glow.

According to the report, "a contemporary repetition of that event would cause significantly more extensive (and possibly catastrophic) social and economic disruptions." The report warns of widespread failures in telecommunications, electric power, banking and finance, and transportation; even water supplies could be disrupted. The total economic impact in the first year alone could reach $2 trillion--about 15 times greater than the costs of Hurricane Katrina. Depending on damage, full recovery from the solar storm could take 4 to 6 years.

No one knows how often super solar storms occur. We've only seen one like it in the past 200 years. The next one could be another 200 years away--or just 200 days. All the more reason to study space weather!

And that is just the economic impact. With power disruptions you can get looting. Damaged infrastructure could lead spark civil unrest - it might be hard to purchase food if you rely on a credit card... Some governments (yes you, Mr Bush) have proven to be inept when dealing with lesser catastrophes.

Was the storm of 1859 the worst possible? According to Scientific American, "ice cores suggest that such a blast of solar particles happens only once every 500 years, but even the storms every 50 years could fry satellites, jam radios and cause coast-to-coast blackouts." Could there be a once-in-5000-year storm that is another magnitude worse?

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6 Comments:

Blogger Arcane said...

What exactly do people need to figure it out? At this point regardless there is no quick fix. Not for the climate. Not for the economy. The people in this world that have been here to help all along have been warning us that this sort of chaos was on its way. Short of burning them at the stake...most of the time they were written off as crazy fanatics. Well we need to believe in something. http://arcanedna.webs.com/index.htm

5:47 AM  
Blogger J. L. Navarro said...

Here's a forum thread that might interest you:

http://www.projectavalon.net/forum/showthread.php?t=8441

2:30 AM  
Blogger Firefly said...

Hmph. This time next year, the damage this type of storm could do would be less than the damage done right now.

The Greater Depression makes such events less and less problematic.

If civilization falls bit by bit because of peak oil, droughts, economics and storms every year; how much will be left that can really even be damaged by the time 2013 is almost upon us?

2:14 PM  
Blogger voltz said...

I definitely think human race will go back to where it was during the stone age era. It's just a cycle, people will build civilization and technologies and will lose everything to a natural global phenomenon - polar shift, gigantic cosmic collision, galactic alignment...the list never ends...the universe is a living entity...as such everything changes.

How can you explain why fossil fuels are miles below us? What made those fossils go miles below the surface of the earth?

Once this natural disaster happens, few people will survive but on a different landscape....gone are the skyscrapers, bridges and roads and they will tell their kids that once, a great civilization exist on earth and as time goes by the story will be passed on to generation upon generation and then it will only a become a myth...a legend...

and people will again rise and start a new civilization probably more advanced than what we have now and then....the EARTH faces another global catastrophe and the cycle goes on and on until the sun ends everything....

we all pass through this world but once...

12:19 AM  
Blogger Michael Cochrane said...

I will admit that President Bush was not a great leader, but why are people still blaming him for what happened in New Orleans? Last month it was possible to get a few million people into Washington D.C. in one day, but with a weeks notice a few hundred thousand could not get out of harms way? Then the people there reelected the same officials that left them on their own. Why have the people of this once great nation stopped taking responsibility for the choices they make? I hope the end really is near, because this world is getting worse everyday.

4:09 AM  
Blogger Arcane said...

That is a very good point Michael. Indeed, how well the inauguration was well orchestrated. The common good. As well is your point on perpetuating our own catastrophe. The power of suggestion!

7:44 AM  

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